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Is Bitcoin trending or ranging right now?

The Regime Monitor classifies the current market regime for Bitcoin and the other pairs we track. See the current state, how strong it is, and how long it has held. Updated approximately every 15 minutes.

Live regime classification · BTC · 15-min delayed

What the Regime Monitor shows

A market regime is the prevailing structural state of a market. The Regime Monitor reads that state and classifies it into one of three regimes, each of which calls for a different trading approach. It tells you what kind of market you are in. It never tells you what to buy.

TRENDING

Directional momentum

Strong, sustained movement in one direction. Momentum and trend-following approaches find their edge here.

RANGING

No clear direction

Price oscillates between support and resistance. Mean-reversion approaches perform; breakouts tend to fail.

BEARISH

Trending downward

Directional momentum to the downside. Long signals systematically degrade in this regime.

How the regime is classified

The classification combines three measurements that each capture something the others miss:

Trend strength - ADX

The Average Directional Index measures how strong the current trend is, independent of direction. A reading above 25 indicates a trending market. Below 20 indicates ranging conditions.

Directional momentum - EMA spread

The distance between a fast and a slow exponential moving average shows how much directional momentum price carries. A widening spread confirms a trend. Converging EMAs signal a trend fading.

Direction - +DI / −DI

The directional components of the DMI system confirm which way the strength is running, separating a trending-bullish regime from a trending-bearish one.

Intelligence, not advice. The Regime Monitor describes what the market is doing. It does not recommend trades, predict price, or tell you to buy or sell. It is a context layer for your own process.

Why the regime matters before any signal

Most trading signals are regime-dependent. The same indicator that generates edge in a trending market produces losses in a ranging one. An RSI oversold reading is a pullback entry in an uptrend, a range-boundary entry in a ranging market, and a failed continuation signal in a downtrend. The signal does not change. The regime changes its meaning.

Knowing the regime before you evaluate any signal is the step most trading systems skip. The Regime Monitor exists to make that step a glance.

Frequently asked

How often does the regime update?+
The regime classification updates approximately every 15 minutes across every pair we track. A run can be missed, so coverage is not guaranteed. The free monitor shows BTC on a 15-minute delay.
Which pairs are covered?+
The system monitors the major pairs, including BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP. The free Regime Monitor shows BTC.
Is this a buy or sell signal?+
No. The Regime Monitor is descriptive, not prescriptive. It tells you the structural state of the market. It never recommends an action. RegimeLab provides market intelligence, not financial advice.
What is the difference between trending and ranging?+
A trending market has directional momentum and makes sustained progress one way. A ranging market oscillates between support and resistance without committing to a direction. They require opposite strategies, which is why classifying the regime first matters.

Know when it changes, without watching

The free monitor shows BTC. Join the waitlist for every pair we track, plus a message when any of them changes state. The weekly regime read starts as soon as you join.

You are on the list. The next read lands in your inbox.

Free. Unsubscribe anytime. No calls, no positions to follow.

Or try the ADX Reader and the Regime Timeline.